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July 1 Update

  • Peter Blacket
  • Jul 1
  • 1 min read
  • Significant severe weather event on 1st with thunderstorms, many severe along squall line feature east of ranges and into NSW/VIC. Tornado risk within this line and in any cells ahead 

  • Good rainfall for agricultural areas from fronts on 1st and 2nd before high pressure takes hold with frost risk 6th-9th 

  • El Nino rapidly forming but Australian impacts currently near zero and will only slowly increase from here on in 

  • Slow drying trend through winter into spring but mitigated so long as eastern Indian stays warm 

  • Weaker Positive IOD likely in spring with many areas wet enough to get by. Late frost risk the main worry at this point versus lack of rain 


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