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Mid August 2026 update

  • Peter Blacket
  • 5 days ago
  • 1 min read

  • Very strong El Nino is real but that does not mean drought in SA, and especially so this year 

  • Localised dry spells through spring will still occur, mitigated by warmer Indian and lack of a sustained Positive IOD 

  • Major volatility through spring with thunderstorm activity above average 

  • Still above average frost risk in any high pressure, especially if we get colder air 

  • Dominant westerly flow and cooler mid-levels tightening jetstream, increasing damaging wind potential in stronger events 

  • Wet interior will continue to have a positive feedback through SA/VIC with more moisture for systems 


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